Blinds 15/30
Our stack: 4100
Villain's stack: 2900
Villain has about $100,000 in MTT winnings and I've never played with him before. OPR confirms he does very well at mid-stakes buy-ins.
UTG with KK we raise to 100
Villain flats in MP
CO flats
Button flats
SB folds
BB calls
Flop: T 5 4 rainbow
BB Checks. We bet 400 into 515.
MP villains flats and everyone else folds.
Turn: 4
What's your action here and why?
3 comments:
I usually play against complete asses, but let me chime in anyway:
Flop is very safe and your bet is probably good, considering the number of players in the hand.
Since he calls the Flop, he probably has either solid overcards, 76 exactly, 99 or an overpair.
Turn changes nothing imo. We're either still ahead or still beaten to death.
Pot is about 1300. I'd bet around 900. The intent is to prevent him from drawing with an Ace, but commit him with QQ, JJ, and maybe even with AT. Underpairs will fold.
If he calls, I'd reserve the right to be worried and proceed a bit cautious on the River. Especially if an Ace comes or the board pairs.
I'd prefer him to go all-in on the Turn, since that seems the safest play for us.
If he just calls, I'd either raise him all-in on the River or check my option and see what he does, as we may not be winning the hand anymore.
/j.
He's a solid player so I've ruled out AT and I think something like JJ and QQ has to raise me here to protect their hand. Otherwise all these players behind him are getting proper odds if they have a drawing hand like 67.
I've definitely ruled out 67 and 99 for MP villain. He wouldn't flat a UTG raise with 67 and I don't think he can just call the flop with 99. It's far too likely someone has a Ten in their hand or I already have his 99 beaten.
It's still early in the game, but how aggressive does he normally play preflop then?
The play here seems oddly passive. If you rule out draws and smaller pairs than your Kings, then he can only have Aces, I guess.
I agree about the AT hand, it's a marginal hand anyway.
/j.
Post a Comment